Scout
09-18-2007, 03:19 PM
Courtesy Alan Caldwell
Tuesday, September 18, 2007
Eastern division preview
Alrighty.....season starts in two days, so it's preview time. First up is the Eastern division, and I'll follow with the Central, B.C., and U.S. divisions over the next couple days.
Couple caveats - first, my record at this hasn't exactly put me in Nostradamus' league over the years, so if you don't agree with my assessment of your favourite team, relax and tell yourself I'm probably wrong, again. It's just for fun. Comments are definitely welcome though. Secondly, I obviously can't foresee injuries or all trades, so these are based only on the rosters at the current moment, with my picks for which overagers stick around, etc.
Enjoy....
Regina Pats:
--------------------
Overagers:
In: Troy Ofukany (F)
Out: Kaspars Saulietis (F), Justin Scott (F), Myles Stoesz (F)
Departed Players:
Kyle Deck (D-86) (Reg: 57-7-18-25-83; Plf: 10-0-2-2-16) - graduated overager
Garrett Festerling (F-86) (Reg: 67-22-51-73-46; Plf: 10-5-7-12-16) - graduated overager
Kyle Ross (F-86) (Reg: 71-20-48-68-78; Plf: 10-4-3-7-18) - graduated overager
Kaspars Saulietis (F-87) (Reg: 35-10-7-17-43; Plf: 10-1-1-2-12) - released (projected)
Justin Scott (F-87) (Reg: 61-4-10-14-18; Plf: 1-0-0-0-2) - released
Niko Snellman (F-88) (Reg: 32-5-5-10-65) - released
Myles Stoesz (F-87) (Reg: 29-4-2-6-89; Plf: 9-0-0-0-21) - turning pro (projected)
Tommy Tartaglione (G-88) (Reg: 22gp, 10-5-1, 2.88gaa, .899sv%) - traded to Edmonton
Projected Returnees:
Forwards:
Jordan Eberle (F-90) (Reg: 66-28-27-55-32; Plf: 6-2-5-7-2)
Josh Elder (F-88) (Reg: 13-1-2-3-33; Plf: 10-1-2-3-6)
Cody Gross (F-89) (Reg: 55-6-5-11-20; Plf: 5-0-2-2-0) - stats with Prince Albert
Kirt Hill (F-88) (Reg: 40-3-7-10-51; Plf: 10-0-0-0-28)
Jared Jagow (F-88) (Reg: 60-10-5-15-16; Plf: 10-1-0-1-4)
Brett Leffler (F-89) (Reg: 69-13-13-26-114; Plf: 10-2-0-2-14)
Levi Lind (F-88) (Reg: 59-6-10-16-60; Plf: 10-0-2-2-20)
Michael MacAngus (F-88) (Reg: 30-14-14-28-26; Plf: 10-5-5-10-11)
Troy Ofukany (F-87) (Reg: 40-13-17-30-36; Plf: 10-3-4-7-16)
Mike Reich (F-88) (Reg: 50-15-6-21-155; Plf: 4-0-0-0-16)
Defence:
Matt Delahey (D-89) (Reg: 60-1-5-6-42; Plf: 10-0-0-0-4)
Spencer Fraipont (D-88) (Reg: 27-0-1-1-12)
Logan Pyett (D-88) (Reg: 71-14-48-62-84; Plf: 10-3-6-9-4)
Nick Ross (D-89) (Reg: 70-7-24-31-87; Plf: 10-1-5-6-14)
Craig Schira (D-88) (Reg: 71-3-23-26-74; Plf: 10-0-0-0-4)
Colten Teubert (D-90) (Reg: 63-3-8-11-91; Plf: 10-0-1-1-13)
Goaltenders:
Linden Rowat (G-89) (Reg: 52gp, 25-18-7, 2.87gaa, .897sv%; Plf: 10gp, 4-6, 3.17gaa, .894sv%)
Rookies:
Jeff Bosch (G-90) (Reg: 2gp, 0-2-0, 2.57gaa, 0.923sv%)
Rudolf Cerveny (F-89) - new import
Dru Cotterill (F-90)
Marco Insam (F-89) - new import
Damien Ketlo (G-91)
Curtis Kulchar (D-90) (Reg: 4-0-0-0-0)
Matt MacDermott (D-88)
Garrett Mitchell (F-91) (Reg: 4-0-1-1-2)
Alex Pym (D-91)
Matt Strueby (F-89) (Reg: 1-1-0-1-0)
Prognosis: If the scoring comes through, a pretty good team here. This is an older, very experienced team with nine 19 year olds for which the expectations are high - and for good reason. Pyett-Ross-Schira-Teubert is a solid top four (maybe the best top four in the division?) on the back end, with depth from Delahey, Fraipont, and a pretty good prospect like Kulchar. Rowat provides solid goaltending, and the backup this year - Jeff Bosch - is one of the best 1990-born goaltending prospects in the league, so he should be able to push Rowat - especially if his two appearances last season were any indication. Up front is where the questions come in, as there's not really a lot of proven top-line scorers there. Eberle for sure, but the team will really feel the loss of Festerling and Ross unless some other players step up and/or become more consistent. Even more will be needed from MacAngus and Ofukany, and a big breakout year for Brett Leffler is due. Mike Reich realizing that the team can't score when they're shorthanded because he's in the penalty box would be another positive. So would big rookie seasons from Matt Strueby and new imports Marco Insam and Rudolf Cerveny - or Kaspars Saulietis if the team decides to keep him ahead of one of the rookie Euros. There is also room to add one or more overagers, if any come available who can fill the holes.
Prediction: Best defence and goaltending makes them the class in the Eastern division. First in the division and 2nd or 3rd in the conference.
================================================== ================================
Swift Current Broncos:
--------------------
Overagers:
In: R.J. LaRochelle (D), Brady Leavold (F), Michael Wilson (D)
Out: Daniel Rakos (F)
Departed Players:
Kyle Moir (G-86) (Reg: 55gp, 21-27-1, 3.19gaa, .903sv%; Plf: 6gp, 2-4, 3.17gaa, .887sv%) - graduated overager
Daniel Rakos (F-87) (Reg: 63-16-19-35-108; Plf: 6-0-3-3-10) - released
Myles Rumsey (D-86) (Reg: 69-0-9-9-115; Plf: 6-0-1-1-8) - graduated overager
Jeremy Schenderling (F-86) (Reg: 65-23-18-41-103; Plf: 6-5-2-7-6) - graduated overager
Projected Returnees:
Forwards:
Kyle Bortis (F-88) (Reg: 56-18-20-38-22; Plf: 6-1-1-2-4)
Philip Gervais (F-90) (Reg: 53-3-1-4-70; Plf: 5-0-0-0-4)
Brady Leavold (F-87) (Reg: 55-14-21-35-142; Plf: 6-1-1-2-4)
Levi Nelson (F-88) (Reg: 66-18-34-52-125; Plf: 6-4-3-7-4)
Zack Smith (F-88) (Reg: 71-16-15-31-130; Plf: 6-0-2-2-11)
David Stieler (F-88) (Reg: 71-13-22-35-25; Plf: 6-0-0-0-2)
Matt Tassone (F-89) (Reg: 38-6-2-8-60)
Grant Toulmin (F-89) (Reg: 60-2-2-4-37)
Dale Weise (F-88) (Reg: 67-18-25-43-94; Plf: 6-0-1-1-8)
Geordie Wudrick (F-90) (Reg: 67-13-11-24-60; Plf: 6-1-1-2-4)
Defence:
Derek Claffey (D-89) (Reg: 64-1-11-12-41; Plf: 6-0-0-0-2)
Eric Doyle (D-89) (Reg: 25-5-8-13-24; Plf: 6-0-2-2-4)
R.J. LaRochelle (D-87) (Reg: 63-3-5-8-135; Plf: 6-1-1-2-16)
Spencer McAvoy (D-88) (Reg: 59-5-10-15-43; Plf: 6-0-1-1-8)
Ryan Molle (D-89) (Reg: 61-1-4-5-52; Plf: 6-1-0-1-8)
Paul Postma (D-89) (Reg: 70-5-19-24-42; Plf: 6-0-1-1-0)
Michael Wilson (D-87) (Reg: 71-10-27-37-67; Plf: 6-0-1-1-2)
Goaltenders:
Travis Yonkman (G-88) (Reg: 30gp, 12-9-2, 3.35gaa, .893sv%)
Rookies:
Mike Brown (F-90) (Reg: 3-0-0-0-0)
Ian Curtis (G-90)
Jan Dalecky (F-90) - new import
Justin Dowling (F-90) (Reg: 3-0-3-3-0; Plf: 1-0-0-0-0)
Cody Eakin (F-91) (Reg: 3-0-0-0-0)
Brad Hoban (F-91) (Reg: 4-0-0-0-0)
Joel Rogers (D-91)
Prognosis: Fairly well-rounded, veteran-filled team that's not outstanding in any one area but may not not have many glaring weaknesses either. There is a good amount of veteran scoring up front from the likes of Bortis, Wudrick, Weise, Nelson, Stieler, Smith, etc - basically two lines of second-line type players at this point, no big-time superstar point-getters emerged there yet although Wudrick could take that step this year. Nothing wrong with scoring by committee though if the committee is sufficiently large, which in this case it is. The blueline is also solid with good vets like Doyle, Molle, Postma, LaRochelle, Wilson, etc. Few big stars but as a group, pretty good for quality and depth and a good mix of offensive and defensive types. In net is the one question area though, regarding Travis Yonkman's ability to be the starter, given that his numbers as a backup for the last two years are not impressive. He is 19 now and will get every opportunity to prove he can do the job; his backup will be well-regarded rookie Ian Curtis. I think goaltending is about the only thing stopping the Broncos from maybe being an outside contender this year, really. If Yonkman emerges as a legit 45-50 game starter, I think this team could see the 2nd or even 3rd round of the playoffs?
Prediction: Second in the division. 4th or 5th in the conference. Could be a close race with Moose Jaw and/or Prince Albert for 2nd-3rd-4th?
Tuesday, September 18, 2007
Eastern division preview
Alrighty.....season starts in two days, so it's preview time. First up is the Eastern division, and I'll follow with the Central, B.C., and U.S. divisions over the next couple days.
Couple caveats - first, my record at this hasn't exactly put me in Nostradamus' league over the years, so if you don't agree with my assessment of your favourite team, relax and tell yourself I'm probably wrong, again. It's just for fun. Comments are definitely welcome though. Secondly, I obviously can't foresee injuries or all trades, so these are based only on the rosters at the current moment, with my picks for which overagers stick around, etc.
Enjoy....
Regina Pats:
--------------------
Overagers:
In: Troy Ofukany (F)
Out: Kaspars Saulietis (F), Justin Scott (F), Myles Stoesz (F)
Departed Players:
Kyle Deck (D-86) (Reg: 57-7-18-25-83; Plf: 10-0-2-2-16) - graduated overager
Garrett Festerling (F-86) (Reg: 67-22-51-73-46; Plf: 10-5-7-12-16) - graduated overager
Kyle Ross (F-86) (Reg: 71-20-48-68-78; Plf: 10-4-3-7-18) - graduated overager
Kaspars Saulietis (F-87) (Reg: 35-10-7-17-43; Plf: 10-1-1-2-12) - released (projected)
Justin Scott (F-87) (Reg: 61-4-10-14-18; Plf: 1-0-0-0-2) - released
Niko Snellman (F-88) (Reg: 32-5-5-10-65) - released
Myles Stoesz (F-87) (Reg: 29-4-2-6-89; Plf: 9-0-0-0-21) - turning pro (projected)
Tommy Tartaglione (G-88) (Reg: 22gp, 10-5-1, 2.88gaa, .899sv%) - traded to Edmonton
Projected Returnees:
Forwards:
Jordan Eberle (F-90) (Reg: 66-28-27-55-32; Plf: 6-2-5-7-2)
Josh Elder (F-88) (Reg: 13-1-2-3-33; Plf: 10-1-2-3-6)
Cody Gross (F-89) (Reg: 55-6-5-11-20; Plf: 5-0-2-2-0) - stats with Prince Albert
Kirt Hill (F-88) (Reg: 40-3-7-10-51; Plf: 10-0-0-0-28)
Jared Jagow (F-88) (Reg: 60-10-5-15-16; Plf: 10-1-0-1-4)
Brett Leffler (F-89) (Reg: 69-13-13-26-114; Plf: 10-2-0-2-14)
Levi Lind (F-88) (Reg: 59-6-10-16-60; Plf: 10-0-2-2-20)
Michael MacAngus (F-88) (Reg: 30-14-14-28-26; Plf: 10-5-5-10-11)
Troy Ofukany (F-87) (Reg: 40-13-17-30-36; Plf: 10-3-4-7-16)
Mike Reich (F-88) (Reg: 50-15-6-21-155; Plf: 4-0-0-0-16)
Defence:
Matt Delahey (D-89) (Reg: 60-1-5-6-42; Plf: 10-0-0-0-4)
Spencer Fraipont (D-88) (Reg: 27-0-1-1-12)
Logan Pyett (D-88) (Reg: 71-14-48-62-84; Plf: 10-3-6-9-4)
Nick Ross (D-89) (Reg: 70-7-24-31-87; Plf: 10-1-5-6-14)
Craig Schira (D-88) (Reg: 71-3-23-26-74; Plf: 10-0-0-0-4)
Colten Teubert (D-90) (Reg: 63-3-8-11-91; Plf: 10-0-1-1-13)
Goaltenders:
Linden Rowat (G-89) (Reg: 52gp, 25-18-7, 2.87gaa, .897sv%; Plf: 10gp, 4-6, 3.17gaa, .894sv%)
Rookies:
Jeff Bosch (G-90) (Reg: 2gp, 0-2-0, 2.57gaa, 0.923sv%)
Rudolf Cerveny (F-89) - new import
Dru Cotterill (F-90)
Marco Insam (F-89) - new import
Damien Ketlo (G-91)
Curtis Kulchar (D-90) (Reg: 4-0-0-0-0)
Matt MacDermott (D-88)
Garrett Mitchell (F-91) (Reg: 4-0-1-1-2)
Alex Pym (D-91)
Matt Strueby (F-89) (Reg: 1-1-0-1-0)
Prognosis: If the scoring comes through, a pretty good team here. This is an older, very experienced team with nine 19 year olds for which the expectations are high - and for good reason. Pyett-Ross-Schira-Teubert is a solid top four (maybe the best top four in the division?) on the back end, with depth from Delahey, Fraipont, and a pretty good prospect like Kulchar. Rowat provides solid goaltending, and the backup this year - Jeff Bosch - is one of the best 1990-born goaltending prospects in the league, so he should be able to push Rowat - especially if his two appearances last season were any indication. Up front is where the questions come in, as there's not really a lot of proven top-line scorers there. Eberle for sure, but the team will really feel the loss of Festerling and Ross unless some other players step up and/or become more consistent. Even more will be needed from MacAngus and Ofukany, and a big breakout year for Brett Leffler is due. Mike Reich realizing that the team can't score when they're shorthanded because he's in the penalty box would be another positive. So would big rookie seasons from Matt Strueby and new imports Marco Insam and Rudolf Cerveny - or Kaspars Saulietis if the team decides to keep him ahead of one of the rookie Euros. There is also room to add one or more overagers, if any come available who can fill the holes.
Prediction: Best defence and goaltending makes them the class in the Eastern division. First in the division and 2nd or 3rd in the conference.
================================================== ================================
Swift Current Broncos:
--------------------
Overagers:
In: R.J. LaRochelle (D), Brady Leavold (F), Michael Wilson (D)
Out: Daniel Rakos (F)
Departed Players:
Kyle Moir (G-86) (Reg: 55gp, 21-27-1, 3.19gaa, .903sv%; Plf: 6gp, 2-4, 3.17gaa, .887sv%) - graduated overager
Daniel Rakos (F-87) (Reg: 63-16-19-35-108; Plf: 6-0-3-3-10) - released
Myles Rumsey (D-86) (Reg: 69-0-9-9-115; Plf: 6-0-1-1-8) - graduated overager
Jeremy Schenderling (F-86) (Reg: 65-23-18-41-103; Plf: 6-5-2-7-6) - graduated overager
Projected Returnees:
Forwards:
Kyle Bortis (F-88) (Reg: 56-18-20-38-22; Plf: 6-1-1-2-4)
Philip Gervais (F-90) (Reg: 53-3-1-4-70; Plf: 5-0-0-0-4)
Brady Leavold (F-87) (Reg: 55-14-21-35-142; Plf: 6-1-1-2-4)
Levi Nelson (F-88) (Reg: 66-18-34-52-125; Plf: 6-4-3-7-4)
Zack Smith (F-88) (Reg: 71-16-15-31-130; Plf: 6-0-2-2-11)
David Stieler (F-88) (Reg: 71-13-22-35-25; Plf: 6-0-0-0-2)
Matt Tassone (F-89) (Reg: 38-6-2-8-60)
Grant Toulmin (F-89) (Reg: 60-2-2-4-37)
Dale Weise (F-88) (Reg: 67-18-25-43-94; Plf: 6-0-1-1-8)
Geordie Wudrick (F-90) (Reg: 67-13-11-24-60; Plf: 6-1-1-2-4)
Defence:
Derek Claffey (D-89) (Reg: 64-1-11-12-41; Plf: 6-0-0-0-2)
Eric Doyle (D-89) (Reg: 25-5-8-13-24; Plf: 6-0-2-2-4)
R.J. LaRochelle (D-87) (Reg: 63-3-5-8-135; Plf: 6-1-1-2-16)
Spencer McAvoy (D-88) (Reg: 59-5-10-15-43; Plf: 6-0-1-1-8)
Ryan Molle (D-89) (Reg: 61-1-4-5-52; Plf: 6-1-0-1-8)
Paul Postma (D-89) (Reg: 70-5-19-24-42; Plf: 6-0-1-1-0)
Michael Wilson (D-87) (Reg: 71-10-27-37-67; Plf: 6-0-1-1-2)
Goaltenders:
Travis Yonkman (G-88) (Reg: 30gp, 12-9-2, 3.35gaa, .893sv%)
Rookies:
Mike Brown (F-90) (Reg: 3-0-0-0-0)
Ian Curtis (G-90)
Jan Dalecky (F-90) - new import
Justin Dowling (F-90) (Reg: 3-0-3-3-0; Plf: 1-0-0-0-0)
Cody Eakin (F-91) (Reg: 3-0-0-0-0)
Brad Hoban (F-91) (Reg: 4-0-0-0-0)
Joel Rogers (D-91)
Prognosis: Fairly well-rounded, veteran-filled team that's not outstanding in any one area but may not not have many glaring weaknesses either. There is a good amount of veteran scoring up front from the likes of Bortis, Wudrick, Weise, Nelson, Stieler, Smith, etc - basically two lines of second-line type players at this point, no big-time superstar point-getters emerged there yet although Wudrick could take that step this year. Nothing wrong with scoring by committee though if the committee is sufficiently large, which in this case it is. The blueline is also solid with good vets like Doyle, Molle, Postma, LaRochelle, Wilson, etc. Few big stars but as a group, pretty good for quality and depth and a good mix of offensive and defensive types. In net is the one question area though, regarding Travis Yonkman's ability to be the starter, given that his numbers as a backup for the last two years are not impressive. He is 19 now and will get every opportunity to prove he can do the job; his backup will be well-regarded rookie Ian Curtis. I think goaltending is about the only thing stopping the Broncos from maybe being an outside contender this year, really. If Yonkman emerges as a legit 45-50 game starter, I think this team could see the 2nd or even 3rd round of the playoffs?
Prediction: Second in the division. 4th or 5th in the conference. Could be a close race with Moose Jaw and/or Prince Albert for 2nd-3rd-4th?